Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 New Braunfels, TX, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: New Braunfels 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Ella McDonald		Elvina Kalieva

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.91
	1.77	1.93
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.45	2.70
	1.74	1.91	Watch
	1.67	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.71)	2.08 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ella McDonald
55.2%

Elvina Kalieva
44.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ella McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Elvina Kalieva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ella McDonald than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ella McDonald that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elvina Kalieva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ella McDonald - Elvina Kalieva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McDonald is ranked WTA: 327., and Kalieva is ranked WTA: 111..

McDonald has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Performances by Kalieva have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

McDonald may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for McDonald in today's match, at odds of 1.7.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, McDonald has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Elvina Kalieva - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 46.47%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ella McDonald
ITF Tournaments
24.10.26	Madison Brengle - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
23.10.26	Anastasia Tikhonova - Ella McDonald	1:2 ✺
22.10.26	Ella McDonald - Rebecca Munk Mortensen	2:1 ✺
21.10.26	Ella McDonald - Rose Marie Nijkamp	2:0 ✺
20.10.26	Iryna Shymanovich - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWW
- Elvina Kalieva
ITF Tournaments
16.10.26	Elvina Kalieva - Kristina Penickova	1:2 ✺
16.10.26	Elvina Kalieva - Savannah Broadus	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.10.26	Kyoka Okamura - Elvina Kalieva	2:0 ✺
08.10.26	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Elvina Kalieva	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Elvina Kalieva - Tamara Korpatsch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wimbledon
23.06.26	Ella McDonald - Elvina Kalieva	1:2

Ella McDonald - Elvina Kalieva