Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Nottingham (United Kingdom), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 July 2024, Thursday


	Ella McDonald		Heather Watson

	1	2
	4	1.19
	3.85	1.2
	4.21	1.2
	3.96	1.21	Watch
	4	1.22
	3.86	1.23
	3.85	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.23)	1.21 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ella McDonald
23.4%

Heather Watson
76.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ella McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ella McDonald's form might have worsened.

Heather Watson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heather Watson's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ella McDonald than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ella McDonald, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heather Watson than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heather Watson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ella McDonald - Heather Watson Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McDonald in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Watson is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

McDonald could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Watson is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's McDonald to win the game is with odds 3.23.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ella McDonald
ITF Tournaments
17.07.24	Ella McDonald - Ena Koike	2:1 ✺
14.07.24	Ekaterina Ovcharenko - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
12.07.24	Viola Turini - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
11.07.24	Jacquline Nylander Altelius - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
09.07.24	Severine Deppner - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW
- Heather Watson
ITF Tournaments
17.07.24	Katie Swan - Heather Watson	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.24	Greetje Minnen - Heather Watson	2:0 ✺
WTA Birmingham
18.06.24	Heather Watson - Marie Bouzkova	1:2 ✺
WTA Nottingham
12.06.24	Heather Watson - Karolina Pliskova	0:2 ✺
10.06.24	Heather Watson - Kayla Day	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLW

Ella McDonald - Heather Watson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide