Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Chihuahua, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Ella McDonald		Jasmin Ortenzi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.5	1.46	Watch
	2.7	1.44
	2.56	1.43	Watch
	2.5	1.44
	2.73	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.7)	1.43 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ella McDonald
35.6%

Jasmin Ortenzi
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ella McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Jasmin Ortenzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ella McDonald than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ella McDonald that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmin Ortenzi than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jasmin Ortenzi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ella McDonald - Jasmin Ortenzi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McDonald is ranked WTA: 473. Ortenzi is ranked WTA: 223.

McDonald is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ortenzi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ortenzi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ella McDonald
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Ana Sofia Sanchez - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Ella McDonald - Fernanda Antonella Marin Gonzalez	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Anita Sahdiieva - Ella McDonald	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Olivia Lincer - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
29.01.26	Louisa Chirico - Ella McDonald	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL
- Jasmin Ortenzi
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Anastasia Abbagnato - Jasmin Ortenzi	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Maria Herazo Gonzalez - Jasmin Ortenzi	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Jasmin Ortenzi - Haley Giavara	Ortenzi J. retired ✺
31.01.26	Jasmin Ortenzi - Bianca Vanessa Andreescu	0:2 ✺
30.01.26	Caroline Dolehide - Jasmin Ortenzi	Dolehide C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WW?L?

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