Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Monastir 19, hard - Final

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Ella McDonald		Kateryna Lazarenko

	1	2
	1.45	2.5
	1.48	2.59
	1.54	2.42	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.47	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.37)	2.51 ↓ (2.99)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ella McDonald
62.8%

Kateryna Lazarenko
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ella McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ella McDonald's form might have worsened.

Kateryna Lazarenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kateryna Lazarenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ella McDonald than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ella McDonald, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kateryna Lazarenko than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kateryna Lazarenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ella McDonald - Kateryna Lazarenko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McDonald is ranked WTA: 376. Lazarenko is ranked WTA: 847.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

In this match, McDonald is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ella McDonald
ITF Tournaments
17.05.25	Ella McDonald - Valeria Bhunu	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Ella McDonald - Ekaterina Khayrutdinova	2:0 ✺
15.05.25	Ella McDonald - Francesca Delledera	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Ella McDonald - Aubane Droguet	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Lauryn John-Baptiste - Ella McDonald	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWL
- Kateryna Lazarenko
ITF Tournaments
17.05.25	Kateryna Lazarenko - Patricija Paukstyte	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Kateryna Lazarenko - Victoria Milovanova	2:0 ✺
15.05.25	Kateryna Lazarenko - Lina Soussi	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Kateryna Lazarenko - Federica Rossi	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Ranah Akua Stoiber - Kateryna Lazarenko	Stoiber R. A. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWW?

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