Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Monastir 20, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday


	Kateryna Lazarenko		Patricija Paukstyte

	1	2
	1.6	2.15
	1.66	2.13
	1.67	2.12	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.64	2.15	Watch
	1.62	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.59)	2.16 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kateryna Lazarenko
56.9%

Patricija Paukstyte
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kateryna Lazarenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Patricija Paukstyte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kateryna Lazarenko than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patricija Paukstyte than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Kateryna Lazarenko - Patricija Paukstyte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lazarenko is ranked WTA: 854. Paukstyte is ranked WTA: 710.

Lazarenko is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Paukstyte has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lazarenko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lazarenko could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lazarenko won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kateryna Lazarenko
ITF Tournaments
18.05.25	Ella McDonald - Kateryna Lazarenko	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Kateryna Lazarenko - Patricija Paukstyte	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Kateryna Lazarenko - Victoria Milovanova	2:0 ✺
15.05.25	Kateryna Lazarenko - Lina Soussi	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Kateryna Lazarenko - Federica Rossi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWW
- Patricija Paukstyte
ITF Tournaments
17.05.25	Kateryna Lazarenko - Patricija Paukstyte	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Patricija Paukstyte - Ines Murta	2:0 ✺
15.05.25	Patricija Paukstyte - Anna Tabunshchyk	2:1 ✺
14.05.25	Patricija Paukstyte - Luana Plaza Araujo	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Patricija Paukstyte - Carolyn Ansari	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.05.25	Kateryna Lazarenko - Patricija Paukstyte	2:1
27.03.25	Kateryna Lazarenko - Patricija Paukstyte	0:2

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