Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Helsinki (Finland), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday


	Ella McDonald		Sofia Costoulas

	1	2
	2.8	1.36
	2.83	1.39
	2.63	1.42	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.81	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.09)	1.4 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ella McDonald
33.8%

Sofia Costoulas
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ella McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ella McDonald's form might have worsened.

Sofia Costoulas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sofia Costoulas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ella McDonald than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ella McDonald, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofia Costoulas than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sofia Costoulas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

McDonald is ranked WTA: 390. Costoulas is ranked WTA: 297.

Two players are playing changeable.

McDonald could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Costoulas will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ella McDonald
ITF Tournaments
05.03.25	Carolina Kuhl - Ella McDonald	Kuhl C. retired ✺
12.02.25	Ella McDonald - Matilde Jorge	1:2 ✺
28.01.25	Ella McDonald - Clara Vlasselaer	Canceled ✺
23.01.25	Ella McDonald - Iva Primorac	0:2 ✺
22.01.25	Ella McDonald - Iveta Dapkute	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 ?L?LW
- Sofia Costoulas
ITF Tournaments
05.03.25	Milla Kotamaeki - Sofia Costoulas	Kotamaki M. retired ✺
20.02.25	Sofia Costoulas - Victoria Mboko	0:2 ✺
19.02.25	Lois Boisson - Sofia Costoulas	1:2 ✺
18.02.25	Eliz Maloney - Sofia Costoulas	1:2 ✺
13.02.25	Yuriko Lily Miyazaki - Sofia Costoulas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 ?LWWL

Ella McDonald - Sofia Costoulas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide