Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LEON (MEXICO), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 April 2023, Thursday


	Elmar Ejupovic		Facundo Bagnis

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.85	1.4
	2.76	1.47
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.78	1.4	Watch
	2.55	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.27)	1.43 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmar Ejupovic
34.3%

Facundo Bagnis
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmar Ejupovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elmar Ejupovic's form might have worsened.

Facundo Bagnis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Facundo Bagnis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmar Ejupovic than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elmar Ejupovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Facundo Bagnis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Elmar Ejupovic - Facundo Bagnis Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ejupovic will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Bagnis will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ejupovic: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Bagnis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bagnis will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmar Ejupovic
ATP Challenger
11.04.23	Evan Zhu - Elmar Ejupovic	0:2 ✺
05.04.23	Elmar Ejupovic - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
03.04.23	Elmar Ejupovic - Lucas Pouille	2:0 ✺
28.03.23	Elmar Ejupovic - Antoine Bellier	1:2 ✺
27.03.23	Elmar Ejupovic - Jose-Rubin Statham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW
- Facundo Bagnis
ATP Challenger
11.04.23	Jason Jung - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
ATP Houston
03.04.23	Steve Johnson - Facundo Bagnis	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.03.23	Facundo Bagnis - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
22.03.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLW

Elmar Ejupovic - Facundo Bagnis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide