Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: HOUSTON (USA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 3 April 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Steve Johnson		Facundo Bagnis

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.6	1.5
	2.54	1.48
	2.7	1.52
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.59	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (1.9)	1.51 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Steve Johnson
37.1%

Facundo Bagnis
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Steve Johnson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Steve Johnson's form might have worsened.

Facundo Bagnis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Facundo Bagnis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Steve Johnson than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Steve Johnson, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Facundo Bagnis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.1%	0%	80.9%

Steve Johnson - Facundo Bagnis Predictions

Users Predictions: Facundo Bagnis will win (38 of 47 users predict this - 80.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.6% – 92.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Johnson has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bagnis is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Johnson could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bagnis will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Steve Johnson
ATP Miami
20.03.23	Nuno Borges - Steve Johnson	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.23	Zachary Svajda - Steve Johnson	2:1 ✺
ATP Acapulco
25.02.23	Steve Johnson - Nick Chappell	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.02.23	Steve Johnson - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
13.02.23	Steve Johnson - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Facundo Bagnis
ATP Challenger
28.03.23	Facundo Bagnis - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
22.03.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.23	Facundo Bagnis - Thiago Seyboth Wild	1:2 ✺
09.03.23	Facundo Bagnis - Hernan Casanova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLW

Steve Johnson - Facundo Bagnis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide