Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia (Spain), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 October 2024, Thursday


	Elmer Moeller		Jaime Faria

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	2.9
	1.38	2.85	Watch
	1.4	3.02
	1.41	2.94
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.45	2.61	Watch
	1.38	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.59)	2.9 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moeller
67.6%

Jaime Faria
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elmer Moeller's performance.

Jaime Faria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaime Faria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moeller than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elmer Moeller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaime Faria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Elmer Moeller - Jaime Faria Predictions

Users Predictions: Elmer Moeller will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moeller is ranked ATP: 231. Faria is ranked ATP: 168.

Moeller in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Faria is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moeller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Moeller is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Moeller to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Moeller won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moeller
ATP Challenger
08.10.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
04.10.24	Vit Kopriva - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
03.10.24	Elmer Moeller - Francesco Passaro	Moeller E. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWW?
- Jaime Faria
ATP Challenger
08.10.24	Ivan Gakhov - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
02.10.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
26.09.24	Oriol Roca Batalla - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.24	Casper Ruud - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.02.24	Elmer Moeller - Jaime Faria	1:2

Elmer Moeller - Jaime Faria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide