Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mallorca, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Elmer Moller		Maks Kasnikowski

	1	2
			Watch
	2.30	1.55
	2.26	1.57
	2.37	1.63
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.27	1.56	Watch
	2.26	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.97)	1.57 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
40.6%

Maks Kasnikowski
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elmer Moller's form might have worsened.

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maks Kasnikowski's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elmer Moller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maks Kasnikowski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Elmer Moller - Maks Kasnikowski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 170. Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 258.

Both players are currently in poor form.

Kasnikowski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Maks Kasnikowski - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.24%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Elmer Moller	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Elmer Moller - Anton Matusevich	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Elmer Moller - Ivan Ivanov	2:0 ✺
11.08.26	Rudolf Molleker - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Jerome Kym - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL
- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.08.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Maks Kasnikowski	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Philip Henning - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL

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