Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Maks Kasnikowski		Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

	1	2
	2.63	1.44
	2.40	1.53
	2.55	1.49
	2.51	1.55
	2.58	1.45	Watch
	2.45	1.51
	2.48	1.51	Watch
	2.55	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.68)	1.5 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maks Kasnikowski
37.2%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Maks Kasnikowski - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Predictions

Users Predictions: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 253. Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 149.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Budkov Kjaer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Budkov Kjaer will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
06.08.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Maks Kasnikowski	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Philip Henning - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Hynek Barton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLW
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Jesper De Jong - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
01.08.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWL

Maks Kasnikowski - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide