Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday


	Elmer Moller		Thomas Faurel

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.60
	1.44	2.70	Watch
	1.47	2.90
	1.42	2.78	Watch
	1.45	2.75	Watch
	1.52	2.54	Watch
	1.40	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.58)	2.71 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
65.1%

Thomas Faurel
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elmer Moller's performance.

Thomas Faurel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thomas Faurel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elmer Moller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thomas Faurel than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thomas Faurel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Elmer Moller - Thomas Faurel Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Moller will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Faurel will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 147. Faurel is ranked ATP: 321.

Moller is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Faurel has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Faurel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Moller could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
02.07.26	Elmer Moller - Pierluigi Basile	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Elmer Moller - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Elmer Moller - Felix Balshaw	Moller E. Retired ✺
23.06.26	Elmer Moller - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Elmer Moller - Timofey Skatov	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LW?W?
- Thomas Faurel
ATP Challenger
06.07.26	Jerome Kym - Thomas Faurel	2:1 ✺
29.06.26	Igor Marcondes - Thomas Faurel	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Gerard Campana Lee - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Ognjen Milic - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Thomas Faurel - Clement Tabur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

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