Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday


	Elmer Moller		Pierluigi Basile

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	3.00
	1.34	3
	1.4	3.21
	1.34	2.97	Watch
	1.38	3	Watch
	1.33	3.05	Watch
	1.3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.3)	3.03 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
69.2%

Pierluigi Basile
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Pierluigi Basile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pierluigi Basile than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Elmer Moller - Pierluigi Basile Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 147. Basile is ranked ATP: 839.

Moller is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Basile has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Basile may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Moller is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Elmer Moller - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Elmer Moller - Felix Balshaw	Moller E. Retired ✺
23.06.26	Elmer Moller - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Elmer Moller - Timofey Skatov	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.26	Elmer Moller - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 W?W?L
- Pierluigi Basile
ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Pierluigi Basile	1:2 ✺
08.06.26	Pierluigi Basile - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Pierluigi Basile	2:0 ✺
04.06.26	Pierluigi Basile - Francesco Forti	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Pierluigi Basile - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WLLWW

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