Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Menorca, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday


	Elmer Moller		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.52	2.3	Watch
	1.67	2.15	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.61	2.23	Watch
	1.52	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.71)	2.24 ↑ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
58.6%

Lukas Neumayer
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Lukas Neumayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	0%	31.2%

Elmer Moller - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Moller will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Neumayer will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moller: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Moller (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Neumayer (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 139. Neumayer is ranked ATP: 208.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Neumayer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Moller won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Lukas Neumayer - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.84%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
03.04.25	Elmer Moller - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Elmer Moller - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Marin Cilic - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Dusan Lajovic - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
28.03.25	Elmer Moller - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWW
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
03.04.25	Lukas Neumayer - Pedro Cachin	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Felipe Virgili Berini - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Lukas Neumayer - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Henrique Rocha - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Lukas Neumayer - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
06.01.25	Lukas Neumayer - Elmer Moller	2:1

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