Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Canberra (Australia) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 December 2024, Saturday


	Elsa Jacquemot		Hanna Chang

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.3
	1.34	3	Watch
	1.31	3.49	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.35	3.04	Watch
	1.34	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.58)	3.14 ↑ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elsa Jacquemot
70.2%

Hanna Chang
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elsa Jacquemot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elsa Jacquemot's performance.

Hanna Chang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hanna Chang might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elsa Jacquemot than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elsa Jacquemot that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanna Chang than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hanna Chang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Elsa Jacquemot - Hanna Chang Predictions

Users Predictions: Elsa Jacquemot will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jacquemot is ranked WTA: 159. Chang is ranked WTA: 198.

Recent matches Jacquemot is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chang is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chang could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Jacquemot will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jacquemot won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elsa Jacquemot
ATP Challenger
14.12.24	Elsa Jacquemot - Celine Naef	1:2 ✺
13.12.24	Manon Leonard - Elsa Jacquemot	0:2 ✺
12.12.24	Elsa Jacquemot - Anastasia Zakharova	2:0 ✺
11.12.24	Anastasia Tikhonova - Elsa Jacquemot	0:2 ✺
05.12.24	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Elsa Jacquemot	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWL
- Hanna Chang
ATP Challenger
24.11.24	Renata Zarazua - Hanna Chang	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Hanna Chang - Nuria Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
22.11.24	Hanna Chang - Varvara Lepchenko	2:1 ✺
20.11.24	Hanna Chang - Liv Hovde	2:0 ✺
18.11.24	Hanna Chang - Madison Sieg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.09.23	Hanna Chang - Elsa Jacquemot	0:2

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