Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia) - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Hanna Chang		Varvara Lepchenko

	1	2
	3.25	1.33
	3.3	1.3
	3.1	1.32
	3.26	1.36	Watch
	3	1.36
	3.33	1.32
	3.1	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.71)	1.33 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hanna Chang
29.4%

Varvara Lepchenko
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanna Chang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Varvara Lepchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanna Chang than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hanna Chang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varvara Lepchenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hanna Chang - Varvara Lepchenko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Chang is ranked WTA: 197. Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 129.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Chang could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lepchenko is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Chang won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanna Chang
ATP Challenger
28.12.24	Elsa Jacquemot - Hanna Chang	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Renata Zarazua - Hanna Chang	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Hanna Chang - Nuria Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
22.11.24	Hanna Chang - Varvara Lepchenko	2:1 ✺
20.11.24	Hanna Chang - Liv Hovde	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLWWW
- Varvara Lepchenko
ATP Challenger
13.12.24	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
12.12.24	Varvara Lepchenko - Anna Blinkova	2:0 ✺
09.12.24	Margaux Rouvroy - Varvara Lepchenko	1:2 ✺
06.12.24	Varvara Lepchenko - Dominika Salkova	1:2 ✺
04.12.24	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.11.24	Hanna Chang - Varvara Lepchenko	2:1
30.07.21	Hanna Chang - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2

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