Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Cary, NC, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday


	Elvina Kalieva		Lea Ma

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.30
	1.52	2.35
	1.58	2.42
	1.52	2.35	Watch
	1.51	2.45
	1.55	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.32)	2.36 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elvina Kalieva
60.6%

Lea Ma
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elvina Kalieva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elvina Kalieva's form might have worsened.

Lea Ma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lea Ma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elvina Kalieva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lea Ma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Elvina Kalieva - Lea Ma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kalieva is ranked WTA: 136. Ma is ranked WTA: 299.

Recent performances by Kalieva have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ma is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kalieva is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kalieva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elvina Kalieva
WTA Wimbledon
24.06.26	Robin Montgomery - Elvina Kalieva	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Ella McDonald - Elvina Kalieva	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Elvina Kalieva - Ashlyn Krueger	0:2 ✺
04.06.26	Mika Stojsavljevic - Elvina Kalieva	2:1 ✺
01.06.26	Elvina Kalieva - Talia Gibson	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLLW
- Lea Ma
ITF Tournaments
25.06.26	Jo-Yee Chan - Lea Ma	Ma L. Retired ✺
24.06.26	Violeta Martinez - Lea Ma	0:2 ✺
13.06.26	Lea Ma - Zuzanna Pawlikowska	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	Ana Grubor - Lea Ma	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Sophie Llewellyn - Lea Ma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ?WWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.10.25	Elvina Kalieva - Lea Ma	Ma L. retired
ITF Tournaments
19.03.25	Elvina Kalieva - Lea Ma	0:2

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