Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Tampa, FL (USA), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday


	Elvina Kalieva		Lia Karatancheva

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.05
	1.65	2.05
	1.68	2.08
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.07	Watch
	1.65	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.84)	2.06 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elvina Kalieva
55.2%

Lia Karatancheva
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elvina Kalieva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elvina Kalieva's performance.

Lia Karatancheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lia Karatancheva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lia Karatancheva than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Elvina Kalieva - Lia Karatancheva Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kalieva will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Karatancheva will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karatancheva: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kalieva is ranked WTA: 307. Karatancheva is ranked WTA: 350.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Kalieva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Lia Karatancheva - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elvina Kalieva
ITF Tournaments
20.11.24	Elvina Kalieva - Thaisa Grana Pedretti	0:2 ✺
30.10.24	Elvina Kalieva - Leonie Kung	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Elvina Kalieva - Anastasiya Lopata	0:2 ✺
26.10.24	Elvina Kalieva - Olivia Lincer	2:0 ✺
25.10.24	Elvina Kalieva - Eryn Cayetano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWW
- Lia Karatancheva
ITF Tournaments
22.11.24	Mayu Crossley - Lia Karatancheva	2:0 ✺
21.11.24	Lara Smejkal - Lia Karatancheva	0:2 ✺
20.11.24	Victoria Gomez - Lia Karatancheva	Canceled ✺
06.11.24	Lia Karatancheva - Sofia Costoulas	0:2 ✺
05.11.24	Lia Karatancheva - Tess Sugnaux	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LW?LW

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