Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Quito, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 December 2025, Monday


	Elvina Kalieva		Miriam Bianca Bulgaru

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.29	1.55	Watch
	2.31	1.55
	2.43	1.50	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.36	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.78)	1.55 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elvina Kalieva
40.2%

Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elvina Kalieva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elvina Kalieva's performance.

Miriam Bianca Bulgaru has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miriam Bianca Bulgaru might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elvina Kalieva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miriam Bianca Bulgaru than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miriam Bianca Bulgaru could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Elvina Kalieva - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalieva (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kalieva is ranked WTA: 206. Bulgaru is ranked WTA: 204.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Bulgaru may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bulgaru could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elvina Kalieva
ITF Tournaments
19.11.25	Elvina Kalieva - Dalayna Hewitt	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Elvina Kalieva - Romina Dominguez Garcia	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Elvina Kalieva - Marina Stakusic	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Elvina Kalieva - Elizabeth Mandlik	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Arantxa Rus - Elvina Kalieva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLWW
- Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
ATP Challenger
28.11.25	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Panna Udvardy	0:2 ✺
27.11.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Irene Burillo Escorihuela - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Mayar Sherif	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Ayana Akli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWLW

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