Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Valencia (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 June 2024, Monday

Referee: Sala M. (Esp)


	Elvina Kalieva		Varvara Lepchenko

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.55	1.46	Watch
	2.52	1.54
	2.51	1.54
	2.62	1.44
	2.69	1.48	Watch
	2.55	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.63)	1.49 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elvina Kalieva
36.7%

Varvara Lepchenko
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elvina Kalieva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Elvina Kalieva - Varvara Lepchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kalieva will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Lepchenko will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Kalieva is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lepchenko is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lepchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lepchenko will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Lepchenko to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elvina Kalieva
ATP Challenger
05.06.24	Elvina Kalieva - Anca Alexia Todoni	0:2 ✺
03.06.24	Elvina Kalieva - Irina Maria Bara	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.05.24	Elvina Kalieva - Susan Bandecchi	0:2 ✺
30.05.24	Elvina Kalieva - Julia Middendorf	2:0 ✺
28.05.24	Elvina Kalieva - Martha Matoula	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWW
- Varvara Lepchenko
ITF Tournaments
02.06.24	Varvara Lepchenko - Katarina Zavatska	0:2 ✺
01.06.24	Ann Li - Varvara Lepchenko	1:2 ✺
01.06.24	Alice Rame - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
30.05.24	Varvara Lepchenko - Ipek Oz	Oz I. retired ✺
29.05.24	Varvara Lepchenko - Georgia Pedone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWW?W

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