Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Contrexeville (France), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 July 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Emiliana Arango		Caroline Werner

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.35	3	Watch
	1.38	3.12
	1.38	3.15	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.33	3.19	Watch
	1.34	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.39)	3.03 ↑ (2.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emiliana Arango
69%

Caroline Werner
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emiliana Arango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Caroline Werner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emiliana Arango than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caroline Werner than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Emiliana Arango - Caroline Werner Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Arango will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Werner will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arango: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arango is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Werner is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Werner could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arango is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emiliana Arango
ATP Challenger
09.07.24	Emiliana Arango - Conny Perrin	2:1 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
25.06.24	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Emiliana Arango	2:0 ✺
WTA Birmingham
15.06.24	Cristina Bucsa - Emiliana Arango	2:1 ✺
WTA Nottingham
11.06.24	Tatjana Maria - Emiliana Arango	2:1 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
21.05.24	Emiliana Arango - Julia Avdeeva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL
- Caroline Werner
ATP Challenger
09.07.24	Justina Mikulskyte - Caroline Werner	1:2 ✺
08.07.24	Elena Pridankina - Caroline Werner	2:1 ✺
07.07.24	Caroline Werner - Lola Radivojevic	Werner C. walkover ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.06.24	Caroline Werner - Linda Klimovicova	0:2 ✺
27.06.24	Mariam Bolkvadze - Caroline Werner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WL?LW

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