Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Nottingham (United Kingdom), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 June 2024, Tuesday


	Tatjana Maria		Emiliana Arango

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.27	3.55	Watch
	1.29	3.83
	1.29	3.8
	1.3	3.5
	1.32	3.42	Watch
	1.28	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.41)	3.61 ↑ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tatjana Maria
73.6%

Emiliana Arango
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tatjana Maria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tatjana Maria's performance.

Emiliana Arango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emiliana Arango might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emiliana Arango than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Tatjana Maria - Emiliana Arango Predictions

Users Predictions: Tatjana Maria will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Maria is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Arango is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arango could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Maria is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Maria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tatjana Maria
ITF Tournaments
09.06.24	Alison Van Uytvanck - Tatjana Maria	2:1 ✺
08.06.24	Olivia Gadecki - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
07.06.24	Kimberly Birrell - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
06.06.24	Rebecca Marino - Tatjana Maria	1:2 ✺
05.06.24	Sonay Kartal - Tatjana Maria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWW
- Emiliana Arango
WTA Roland Garros
21.05.24	Emiliana Arango - Julia Avdeeva	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.24	Jesika Maleckova - Emiliana Arango	Arango E. retired ✺
14.05.24	Emiliana Arango - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
06.05.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Emiliana Arango	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.24	Emiliana Arango - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 L?WLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Miami
20.03.24	Tatjana Maria - Emiliana Arango	0:2

Tatjana Maria - Emiliana Arango: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide