Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Merida (Mexico), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 February 2025, Thursday


	Emiliana Arango		Francesca Jones

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.19	1.66	Watch
	2.19	1.73
	2.17	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.13	1.72	Watch
	2.19	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.26)	1.68 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emiliana Arango
43.5%

Francesca Jones
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emiliana Arango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Francesca Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emiliana Arango than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesca Jones than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	0%	17.2%

Emiliana Arango - Francesca Jones Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Arango will win (votes: 23 - 82.1%). Jones will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arango: 67.9% – 96.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arango is ranked WTA: 133. Jones is ranked WTA: 136.

Arango is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Jones is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arango could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arango won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emiliana Arango
WTA Merida
24.02.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Emiliana Arango	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Donna Vekic - Emiliana Arango	Canceled ✺
23.02.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Emiliana Arango	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Katarzyna Kawa - Emiliana Arango	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.02.25	Emiliana Arango - Carson Branstine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 W?WWW
- Francesca Jones
WTA Merida
25.02.25	Mayar Sherif - Francesca Jones	Sherif M. retired ✺
23.02.25	Leonie Kung - Francesca Jones	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Ana Sofia Sanchez - Francesca Jones	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.02.25	Francesca Jones - Emiliana Arango	1:2 ✺
13.02.25	Iryna Shymanovich - Francesca Jones	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 ?WWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.02.25	Francesca Jones - Emiliana Arango	1:2

Emiliana Arango - Francesca Jones: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide