Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Merida (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Emiliana Arango

	1	2
	2.1	1.73
	2.16	1.68
			Watch
			Watch
	2.16	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.11)	1.7 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
44.2%

Emiliana Arango
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Emiliana Arango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emiliana Arango than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Maria Lourdes Carle - Emiliana Arango Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carle is ranked WTA: 97. Arango is ranked WTA: 133.

Carle is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arango is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Carle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Arango to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Carle won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
WTA Merida
23.02.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Emiliana Arango	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Victoria Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Louisa Chirico - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
13.01.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Amanda Anisimova	0:2 ✺
WTA Hobart
07.01.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - McCartney Kessler	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Emiliana Arango
WTA Merida
24.02.25	Donna Vekic - Emiliana Arango	Canceled ✺
23.02.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Emiliana Arango	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Katarzyna Kawa - Emiliana Arango	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.02.25	Emiliana Arango - Carson Branstine	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Francesca Jones - Emiliana Arango	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 ?WWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Merida
23.02.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Emiliana Arango	1:2
WTA Roma
06.05.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Emiliana Arango	2:0
ITF Tournaments
09.11.21	Maria Lourdes Carle - Emiliana Arango	Canceled
24.09.21	Emiliana Arango - Maria Lourdes Carle	1:2

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