Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Oegstgeest, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Emilien Demanet		John Sperle

	1	2
	1.52	2.57
	1.52	2.33	Watch
	1.5	2.38
	1.54	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.83)	2.4 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilien Demanet
61.2%

John Sperle
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilien Demanet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emilien Demanet's performance.

John Sperle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and John Sperle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilien Demanet than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emilien Demanet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for John Sperle than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that John Sperle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Emilien Demanet - John Sperle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Demanet is ranked ATP: 645. Sperle is ranked ATP: 776.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Demanet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Demanet won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Emilien Demanet - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

John Sperle - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilien Demanet
ITF Tournaments
29.04.26	Emilien Demanet - Max Van Nunen	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Loann Massard - Emilien Demanet	2:1 ✺
16.04.26	Aljaz Jeran - Emilien Demanet	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Gabriele Bosio - Emilien Demanet	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Emilien Demanet - John Echeverria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWL
- John Sperle
ITF Tournaments
29.04.26	John Sperle - Ruben Hartig	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	John Sperle - Sander Jong	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Jakub Nicod - John Sperle	Nicod J. Retired ✺
16.04.26	John Sperle - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Noah Lopez - John Sperle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WL?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.09.25	John Sperle - Emilien Demanet	2:1

Emilien Demanet - John Sperle: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide