Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lincoln (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 August 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Germani A. (Ita)


	Emilio Nava		Jack Pinnington Jones

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.57	2.26
	1.61	2.37
	1.55	2.36	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.59	2.28	Watch
	1.57	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.33)	2.28 ↓ (3.19)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilio Nava
59.1%

Jack Pinnington Jones
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilio Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Emilio Nava's form might have worsened.

Jack Pinnington Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jack Pinnington Jones's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emilio Nava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jack Pinnington Jones, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Emilio Nava - Jack Pinnington Jones Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nava will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Pinnington Jones will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nava is ranked ATP: 150. Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 533.

Recent matches Nava is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pinnington Jones is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nava could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nava is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
02.08.24	Li Tu - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
01.08.24	Omni Kumar - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
30.07.24	Luke Saville - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
ATP Atlanta
20.07.24	Emilio Nava - Harold Mayot	1:2 ✺
ATP Newport
16.07.24	Brandon Nakashima - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWWLL
- Jack Pinnington Jones
ATP Challenger
05.08.24	Naoki Nakagawa - Jack Pinnington Jones	1:2 ✺
04.08.24	Nikolay Sysoev - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
30.07.24	Aidan Mayo - Jack Pinnington Jones	Pinnington Jones J. retired ✺
29.07.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Cannon Kingsley	2:0 ✺
29.07.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Cooper Williams	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WW?WW

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