Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 July 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Johnson A. (Usa)


	Aidan Mayo		Jack Pinnington Jones

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.38	1.6
	2.3	1.58	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.18	1.65	Watch
	2.18	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.86)	1.61 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aidan Mayo
42%

Jack Pinnington Jones
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aidan Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aidan Mayo's form might have worsened.

Jack Pinnington Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jack Pinnington Jones's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aidan Mayo than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aidan Mayo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jack Pinnington Jones, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Aidan Mayo - Jack Pinnington Jones Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mayo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Pinnington Jones will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mayo is ranked ATP: 287. Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 545.

Recent matches Mayo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pinnington Jones is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pinnington Jones could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pinnington Jones will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Pinnington Jones to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mayo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aidan Mayo
ATP Challenger
24.07.24	Aidan Mayo - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
23.07.24	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Aidan Mayo	1:2 ✺
22.07.24	Nicolas Mejia - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
21.07.24	Stefan Kozlov - Aidan Mayo	Canceled ✺
ATP Newport
15.07.24	Billy Harris - Aidan Mayo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWW?L
- Jack Pinnington Jones
ATP Challenger
29.07.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Cannon Kingsley	2:0 ✺
29.07.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Cooper Williams	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.07.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
18.07.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Phoenix Weir	2:0 ✺
17.07.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Luca Pow	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.06.23	Jack Pinnington Jones - Aidan Mayo	2:1

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