Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villa Maria, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Villa Maria 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Emilio Nava		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.37	2.8	Watch
	1.30	3.31	Watch
	1.4	2.81	Watch
	1.43	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.47)	2.86 ↑ (2.58)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilio Nava
67.5%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
32.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Emilio Nava - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Nava (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nava (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nava is ranked ATP: 100. Varillas is ranked ATP: 324.

Nava has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Varillas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Varillas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nava could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Emilio Nava - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Emilio Nava - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
16.08.25	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Emilio Nava	Canceled ✺
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Borna Coric - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WL?LW
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Santiago De La Fuente	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.09.25	Daniel Vallejo - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Lucca Guercio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.03.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Emilio Nava	1:2
ATP Santiago
22.02.25	Emilio Nava - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2
ATP Challenger
17.01.25	Emilio Nava - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2

Emilio Nava - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio