Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Concepcion, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Concepcion 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Daniel Vallejo		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.39	3.14
	1.31	3.17	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.36	2.89	Watch
	1.38	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.53)	2.91 ↑ (2.33)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Vallejo
68%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
32%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Vallejo's performance.

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Vallejo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Daniel Vallejo - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Vallejo will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Varillas will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vallejo: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Vallejo (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Varillas (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vallejo is ranked ATP: 146. Varillas is ranked ATP: 244.

Vallejo has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Varillas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vallejo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vallejo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Vallejo will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vallejo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Daniel Vallejo - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Thiago Monteiro - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Franco Agamenone	0:2 ✺
16.01.26	Andrea Collarini - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Pedro Sakamoto	Sakamoto P. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.11.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Daniel Vallejo	1:2
ITF Tournaments
05.09.25	Daniel Vallejo - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0
ATP Challenger
20.01.25	Daniel Vallejo - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
27.10.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	✺

Daniel Vallejo - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide