Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PHOENIX (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday


	Emilio Nava		Yannick Hanfmann

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.85	1.88
	1.9	1.92
	1.91	1.93
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.95	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.36)	1.86 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilio Nava
49.6%

Yannick Hanfmann
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emilio Nava's performance.

Yannick Hanfmann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yannick Hanfmann might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emilio Nava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yannick Hanfmann could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Emilio Nava - Yannick Hanfmann Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nava will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Hanfmann will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nava: 73.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Nava is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hanfmann is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nava could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hanfmann will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
12.03.24	Vit Kopriva - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
11.03.24	Benjamin Hassan - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.24	Denis Kudla - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
04.03.24	Steve Johnson - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
21.02.24	Emilio Nava - Jordan Thompson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWL
- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Challenger
12.03.24	Maximilian Marterer - Yannick Hanfmann	Canceled ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
06.03.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Pedro Cachin	2:1 ✺
ATP Santiago
27.02.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
22.02.24	Mariano Navone - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 ?LWLL

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