Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Montreal (Canada), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Emily Appleton		Ariana Arseneault

	1	2
	1.28	3.25
	1.3	3.43	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.28	3.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.41)	3.37 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emily Appleton
72.3%

Ariana Arseneault
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emily Appleton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emily Appleton's performance.

Ariana Arseneault has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ariana Arseneault might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emily Appleton than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ariana Arseneault than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Emily Appleton - Ariana Arseneault Predictions

Users Predictions: Emily Appleton will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Appleton is ranked WTA: 381. Arseneault is ranked WTA: 598.

Appleton in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Arseneault is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arseneault could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Appleton will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Appleton to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emily Appleton
ITF Tournaments
14.03.25	Emily Appleton - Dasha Ivanova	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Emily Appleton - Elizabeth Ionescu	2:1 ✺
12.03.25	Emily Appleton - Krisha Mahendran	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Emily Appleton - Malaika Rapolu	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Emily Appleton - Valentina Ivanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWW
- Ariana Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
14.03.25	Ariana Arseneault - Jada Robinson	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Ariana Arseneault - Valentina Ivanov	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Ariana Arseneault - Isabella Marton	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	Sinja Kraus - Ariana Arseneault	2:0 ✺
30.01.25	Ariana Arseneault - Matilde Paoletti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWWLL

Emily Appleton - Ariana Arseneault: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide