Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Austin, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Emma Navarro		Lulu Sun

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.34	3
	1.4	3.06
	1.40	2.76	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.31	3.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.44)	3 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emma Navarro
68.7%

Lulu Sun
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emma Navarro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Lulu Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emma Navarro than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emma Navarro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lulu Sun than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lulu Sun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Emma Navarro - Lulu Sun Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Navarro will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Sun will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Navarro (votes: 1 - 50%). Sun (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Navarro is ranked WTA: 25. Sun is ranked WTA: 100.

Navarro is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sun has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Navarro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Navarro might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Emma Navarro - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.62%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emma Navarro
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.26	Sonay Kartal - Emma Navarro	2:1 ✺
WTA Merida
26.02.26	Shuai Zhang - Emma Navarro	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
17.02.26	Elise Mertens - Emma Navarro	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Emma Navarro	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
10.02.26	Emma Navarro - Anna Kalinskaya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL
- Lulu Sun
WTA Indian Wells
03.03.26	Lulu Sun - Diane Parry	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Lulu Sun - Maddison Inglis	2:0 ✺
WTA Austin
24.02.26	Lulu Sun - Caroline Dolehide	0:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
15.02.26	Lulu Sun - Magda Linette	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Lulu Sun - Misaki Matsuda	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLL?

Emma Navarro - Lulu Sun: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide