Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday


	Elise Mertens		Emma Navarro

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.66	2.23	Watch
	1.69	2.27
	1.66	2.22	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.67	2.26	Watch
	1.64	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.5)	2.22 ↓ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
57.1%

Emma Navarro
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Emma Navarro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emma Navarro than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Elise Mertens - Emma Navarro Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Navarro will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navarro: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Emma Navarro will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 22. Navarro is ranked WTA: 19.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Navarro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mertens will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mertens won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Dubai
15.02.26	Marie Bouzkova - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
10.02.26	Darya Kasatkina - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
26.01.26	Elena Rybakina - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Elise Mertens - Nikola Bartunkova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW
- Emma Navarro
WTA Dubai
16.02.26	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Emma Navarro	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
10.02.26	Emma Navarro - Anna Kalinskaya	1:2 ✺
09.02.26	Emma Navarro - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
03.02.26	Hailey Baptiste - Emma Navarro	2:1 ✺
WTA Australian Open
18.01.26	Magda Linette - Emma Navarro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Doha
13.02.24	Emma Navarro - Elise Mertens	2:0
WTA Hobart
12.01.24	Elise Mertens - Emma Navarro	1:2

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