Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ANTALYA (TURKEY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 6 March 2023, Monday


	Ergi Kirkin		Mate Valkusz

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.3	1.28
	3.5	1.28
	3.67	1.29
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.16	1.32	Watch
	3.35	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.57)	1.3 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ergi Kirkin
27.8%

Mate Valkusz
72.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ergi Kirkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ergi Kirkin's form might have worsened.

Mate Valkusz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mate Valkusz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ergi Kirkin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mate Valkusz than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mate Valkusz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Ergi Kirkin - Mate Valkusz Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kirkin will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Valkusz will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valkusz: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Kirkin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Valkusz is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ergi Kirkin
ATP Challenger
09.02.23	Evan Furness - Ergi Kirkin	2:1 ✺
07.02.23	Ergi Kirkin - Mats Rosenkranz	2:1 ✺
06.02.23	Vitaliy Sachko - Ergi Kirkin	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Julius Tverijonas - Ergi Kirkin	0:2 ✺
24.01.23	Ergi Kirkin - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWL
- Mate Valkusz
ATP Challenger
20.02.23	Mate Valkusz - Peter Gojowczyk	0:2 ✺
21.01.23	Sebastian Ofner - Mate Valkusz	2:0 ✺
20.01.23	Mate Valkusz - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
18.01.23	Mate Valkusz - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
17.01.23	Carlos Taberner - Mate Valkusz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LLWWW

Ergi Kirkin - Mate Valkusz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide