Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 6, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday


	Ergi Kirkin		Mickael Kaouk

	1	2
	1.48	2.67
	1.34	2.88	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.46	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.73)	2.63 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ergi Kirkin
64.6%

Mickael Kaouk
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ergi Kirkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ergi Kirkin's performance.

Mickael Kaouk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mickael Kaouk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ergi Kirkin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mickael Kaouk than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mickael Kaouk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ergi Kirkin - Mickael Kaouk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kirkin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kirkin is ranked ATP: 594. Kaouk is ranked ATP: 1588.

Kirkin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kaouk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kaouk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kirkin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ergi Kirkin
ITF Tournaments
18.02.26	Ergi Kirkin - Sergey Betov	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Ergi Kirkin - Mickael Kaouk	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Ergi Kirkin - Alaa Trifi	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Ergi Kirkin - Alexey Aleshchev	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.01.26	Ergi Kirkin - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWWL
- Mickael Kaouk
ITF Tournaments
17.02.26	Matteo Gribaldo - Mickael Kaouk	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Mickael Kaouk - Thomas Faurel	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Ergi Kirkin - Mickael Kaouk	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Amir Omarkhanov - Mickael Kaouk	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Mickael Kaouk - Max Wiskandt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.02.26	Ergi Kirkin - Mickael Kaouk	0:2

Ergi Kirkin - Mickael Kaouk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide