Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MATSUYAMA (JAPAN) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday


	Ergi Kirkin		Naoki Nakagawa

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.85	1.85
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.86)	1.84 ↑ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ergi Kirkin
49.8%

Naoki Nakagawa
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ergi Kirkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Naoki Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Ergi Kirkin - Naoki Nakagawa Predictions

Users Predictions: Naoki Nakagawa will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Nakagawa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ergi Kirkin
ATP Challenger
05.11.22	Ergi Kirkin - Renta Tokuda	2:1 ✺
01.11.22	Christopher OConnell - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
31.10.22	Shinji Hazawa - Ergi Kirkin	0:2 ✺
18.10.22	Robin Haase - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
17.10.22	Ergi Kirkin - John Sperle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW
- Naoki Nakagawa
ATP Challenger
05.11.22	Ryota Tanuma - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
31.10.22	Yosuke Watanuki - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
17.10.22	Christopher Eubanks - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0
17.10.22	Mukund Sasikumar - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
16.10.22	Daisuke Sumizawa - Naoki Nakagawa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLW

Ergi Kirkin - Naoki Nakagawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide