Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MATSUYAMA (JAPAN) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday


	Ryota Tanuma		Naoki Nakagawa

	1	2
	1.95	1.72
	1.97	1.75
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.11	1.67	Watch
	2.31	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.84)	1.69 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryota Tanuma
44.9%

Naoki Nakagawa
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryota Tanuma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ryota Tanuma's form might have worsened.

Naoki Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naoki Nakagawa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryota Tanuma than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ryota Tanuma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naoki Nakagawa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ryota Tanuma - Naoki Nakagawa Predictions

Users Predictions: Naoki Nakagawa will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Tanuma is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nakagawa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tanuma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tanuma won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryota Tanuma
ATP Challenger
01.11.22	Damir Dzumhur - Ryota Tanuma	2:0 ✺
30.10.22	Rimpei Kawakami - Ryota Tanuma	1:2 ✺
29.10.22	Kohei Hayashi - Ryota Tanuma	0:2 ✺
09.10.22	Hamad Medjedovic - Ryota Tanuma	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
01.10.22	Ryota Tanuma - Ramkumar Ramanathan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLL
- Naoki Nakagawa
ATP Challenger
31.10.22	Yosuke Watanuki - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
17.10.22	Christopher Eubanks - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0
17.10.22	Mukund Sasikumar - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
16.10.22	Daisuke Sumizawa - Naoki Nakagawa	1:2 ✺
11.10.22	Li Tu - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.06.21	Naoki Nakagawa - Ryota Tanuma	Nakagawa N. retired

Ryota Tanuma - Naoki Nakagawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide