Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Zlatibor (Serbia), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday


	Eric Vanshelboim		Mirza Basic

	1	2
	2.8	1.36
	2.8	1.37
	2.96	1.36
	2.84	1.37	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.89	1.37	Watch
	2.8	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.4)	1.37 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eric Vanshelboim
32.6%

Mirza Basic
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eric Vanshelboim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eric Vanshelboim's form might have worsened.

Mirza Basic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirza Basic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eric Vanshelboim than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eric Vanshelboim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirza Basic than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mirza Basic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Vanshelboim is ranked ATP: 481. Basic is ranked ATP: 579.

Recent matches Vanshelboim is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Basic has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Basic is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eric Vanshelboim
ATP Challenger
16.09.24	Eric Vanshelboim - Stefan Palosi	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Eric Vanshelboim - Rares Andrei Golescu	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.09.24	Eric Vanshelboim - Sergi Perez Contri	0:2 ✺
05.09.24	Eric Vanshelboim - Kane Bonsach Ganley	2:1 ✺
04.09.24	Eric Vanshelboim - Pablo Martinez Gomez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWW
- Mirza Basic
Davis Cup World Group I
15.09.24	Tung-Lin Wu - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Chun Hsin Tseng - Mirza Basic	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.09.24	Rio Noguchi - Mirza Basic	2:1 ✺
20.08.24	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Mirza Basic	2:1 ✺
19.08.24	Saba Purtseladze - Mirza Basic	Purtseladze S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LLLL?

Eric Vanshelboim - Mirza Basic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide