Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CHAMPAIGN (USA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 14 November 2022, Monday


	Ernesto Escobedo		Zachary Svajda

	1	2
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	2	1.78
	1.97	1.81
	1.97	1.85
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	1.95	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.16)	1.83 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ernesto Escobedo
48.8%

Zachary Svajda
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ernesto Escobedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ernesto Escobedo's performance.

Zachary Svajda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zachary Svajda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ernesto Escobedo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ernesto Escobedo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zachary Svajda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Ernesto Escobedo - Zachary Svajda Predictions

Users Predictions: Ernesto Escobedo will win (22 of 28 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.37% – 93.77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 4 head-to-head matches Escobedo won 2.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Svajda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Escobedo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ernesto Escobedo
ATP Challenger
08.11.22	Paul Jubb - Ernesto Escobedo	2:1 ✺
31.10.22	Ernesto Escobedo - Michael Mmoh	0:2 ✺
28.10.22	Juncheng Shang - Ernesto Escobedo	2:1 ✺
27.10.22	Ernesto Escobedo - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
25.10.22	Ernesto Escobedo - Omni Kumar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLWW
- Zachary Svajda
ATP Challenger
10.11.22	Zachary Svajda - Tennys Sandgren	0:2 ✺
08.11.22	Adam Walton - Zachary Svajda	1:2 ✺
01.11.22	Aziz Dougaz - Zachary Svajda	2:1 ✺
24.10.22	Zachary Svajda - Omni Kumar	Svajda Z. retired ✺
23.10.22	Zachary Svajda - Milos Dabic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWL?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.10.22	Ernesto Escobedo - Zachary Svajda	0:2
11.08.22	Ernesto Escobedo - Zachary Svajda	0:2
Exhibition Matchplay 120 Men
30.06.20	Ernesto Escobedo - Zachary Svajda	Canceled
24.06.20	Ernesto Escobedo - Zachary Svajda	Escobedo E. retired
16.06.20	Ernesto Escobedo - Zachary Svajda	2:1
08.06.20	Ernesto Escobedo - Zachary Svajda	2:1

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