The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ernests Gulbis 29.3%
Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna 70.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
58.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
60%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ernests Gulbis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ernests Gulbis's form might have worsened.
Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ernests Gulbis than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ernests Gulbis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Ernests Gulbis - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Gulbis will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Rodriguez Taverna will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for Rodriguez Taverna: 45% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Gulbis is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Rodriguez Taverna is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Rodriguez Taverna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Rodriguez Taverna will have a mini benefit in this match.