Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Sharm ElSheikh 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sharm ElSheikh 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Eva Guerrero Alvarez		Mariia Tkacheva

	1	2
	1.85	1.91
	1.88	1.88
	1.8	1.91
	1.85	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.03)	1.89 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eva Guerrero Alvarez
50.6%

Mariia Tkacheva
49.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eva Guerrero Alvarez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eva Guerrero Alvarez's performance.

Mariia Tkacheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mariia Tkacheva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eva Guerrero Alvarez than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eva Guerrero Alvarez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariia Tkacheva than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mariia Tkacheva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Mariia Tkacheva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Guerrero Alvarez is ranked WTA: 528. Tkacheva is ranked WTA: 273.

Guerrero Alvarez is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Tkacheva is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guerrero Alvarez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eva Guerrero Alvarez
ITF Tournaments
25.04.25	Katie Swan - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	1:2 ✺
24.04.25	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Aliona Falei	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Maria Golovina	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Clervie Ngounoue - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Francisca Jorge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWLW
- Mariia Tkacheva
ITF Tournaments
25.04.25	Tereza Krejcova - Mariia Tkacheva	0:2 ✺
24.04.25	Angelica Blake - Mariia Tkacheva	1:2 ✺
WTA Bogota
29.03.25	Mariia Tkacheva - Nicole Fossa Huergo	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.03.25	Mariia Tkacheva - Hanne Van De Winkel	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Mariia Tkacheva - Lea Ma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLW

Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Mariia Tkacheva

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Mariia Tkacheva Predictions

Preview

Form

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