Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SAVANNAH (USA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 24 April 2023, Monday


	Evan Zhu		Andrea Arnaboldi

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.9	1.86
	1.93	1.9
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.82	Watch
	1.93	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.24)	1.82 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evan Zhu
48.6%

Andrea Arnaboldi
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evan Zhu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Evan Zhu's performance.

Andrea Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Arnaboldi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evan Zhu than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Evan Zhu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Arnaboldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Evan Zhu - Andrea Arnaboldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Zhu will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Arnaboldi will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zhu: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Zhu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arnaboldi is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zhu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evan Zhu
ATP Challenger
20.04.23	Evan Zhu - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
18.04.23	Elmar Ejupovic - Evan Zhu	1:2 ✺
11.04.23	Evan Zhu - Elmar Ejupovic	0:2 ✺
27.03.23	Evan Zhu - Juan Ignacio Londero	0:2 ✺
26.03.23	Evan Zhu - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLW
- Andrea Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
18.04.23	Andrea Arnaboldi - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
27.03.23	Andrea Arnaboldi - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
26.03.23	Ugo Blanchet - Andrea Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
21.03.23	Max Purcell - Andrea Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
06.03.23	Gauthier Onclin - Andrea Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLL

Evan Zhu - Andrea Arnaboldi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide