Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelia (Mexico) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 24 March 2025, Monday


	Evan Zhu		Maximilian Neuchrist

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.53
	3.25	1.29	Watch
	3.32	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.32
	3.25	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.14)	1.34 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evan Zhu
30.3%

Maximilian Neuchrist
69.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evan Zhu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Evan Zhu's form might have worsened.

Maximilian Neuchrist has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maximilian Neuchrist's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evan Zhu than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Evan Zhu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maximilian Neuchrist than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maximilian Neuchrist, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Evan Zhu - Maximilian Neuchrist Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Zhu will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Neuchrist will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neuchrist: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhu is ranked ATP: 630. Neuchrist is ranked ATP: 479.

Two players are playing changeable.

Neuchrist could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evan Zhu
ATP Challenger
23.03.25	Maxime Cressy - Evan Zhu	1:2 ✺
17.03.25	Evan Zhu - Joshua Sheehy	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Evan Zhu - Guillermo Tunas	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.03.25	Vladimir Bazilevskiy - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.02.25	Nathan Ponwith - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWLL
- Maximilian Neuchrist
ATP Challenger
23.03.25	Ray Ho - Maximilian Neuchrist	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Maximilian Neuchrist - Clement Tabur	0:2 ✺
28.02.25	Andrej Martin - Maximilian Neuchrist	2:1 ✺
27.02.25	Maximilian Neuchrist - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Maximilian Neuchrist - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLWW

Evan Zhu - Maximilian Neuchrist: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide