The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Evgenii Tiurnev 41.5%
Sergey Fomin 58.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.3%
52.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.2%
52.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Evgenii Tiurnev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Evgenii Tiurnev's form might have worsened.
Sergey Fomin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sergey Fomin's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evgenii Tiurnev than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Evgenii Tiurnev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergey Fomin than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sergey Fomin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Recent matches Tiurnev is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Fomin is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Tiurnev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
Our prediction for today's Fomin to win the game is with odds 1.76.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Tiurnev won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.