Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GUANGZHOU (CHINA), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 15 September 2023, Friday


	Evgeny Donskoy		Marc Polmans

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.15	1.65
	2.24	1.7
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.24	1.62	Watch
	2.16	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.42)	1.63 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evgeny Donskoy
42.5%

Marc Polmans
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evgeny Donskoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Marc Polmans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evgeny Donskoy than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Evgeny Donskoy - Marc Polmans Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Donskoy will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Polmans will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Polmans: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Interrupted due to rain.

Donskoy is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Polmans is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Polmans could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Polmans will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Donskoy won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evgeny Donskoy
ATP Challenger
14.09.23	Evgeny Donskoy - Omar Jasika	2:1 ✺
12.09.23	Evgeny Donskoy - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
12.09.23	Evgeny Donskoy - Antoine Bellier	2:0 ✺
26.07.23	Evgeny Donskoy - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
25.07.23	Evgeny Donskoy - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLW
- Marc Polmans
ATP Challenger
14.09.23	Li Tu - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
13.09.23	Colin Sinclair - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
11.09.23	Arthur Weber - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
10.09.23	Beibit Zhukayev - Marc Polmans	Canceled
04.09.23	Marc Polmans - Filip Peliwo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.02.22	Evgeny Donskoy - Marc Polmans	0:2

Evgeny Donskoy - Marc Polmans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide