Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GUANGZHOU (CHINA), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 14 September 2023, Thursday


	Li Tu		Marc Polmans

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.9	1.86
	1.88	1.97
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.88	1.87	Watch
	1.9	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.4)	1.89 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Li Tu
50.4%

Marc Polmans
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Li Tu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Li Tu's performance.

Marc Polmans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marc Polmans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Li Tu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marc Polmans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13%	0%	87%

Li Tu - Marc Polmans Predictions

Users Predictions: Marc Polmans will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Tu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Li Tu
ATP Challenger
13.09.23	Li Tu - Aoran Wang	2:1 ✺
11.09.23	Li Tu - Nick Chappell	2:1 ✺
08.09.23	Christopher OConnell - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
08.09.23	Li Tu - Antoine Bellier	2:0 ✺
06.09.23	Filip Peliwo - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW
- Marc Polmans
ATP Challenger
13.09.23	Colin Sinclair - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
11.09.23	Arthur Weber - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
10.09.23	Beibit Zhukayev - Marc Polmans	Canceled
04.09.23	Marc Polmans - Filip Peliwo	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.23	Marc Polmans - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.11.22	Marc Polmans - Li Tu	2:1
Exhibition UTR Pro Match Series Men
23.01.21	Li Tu - Marc Polmans	2:1

Li Tu - Marc Polmans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide