Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cherbourg (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Evgeny Karlovskiy		Adrien Gobat

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.65
	1.41	2.7
	1.39	2.93	Watch
	1.34	3.1	Watch
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)	2.82 ↑ (2.72)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evgeny Karlovskiy
67%

Adrien Gobat
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evgeny Karlovskiy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Adrien Gobat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evgeny Karlovskiy than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrien Gobat than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Evgeny Karlovskiy - Adrien Gobat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Karlovskiy is ranked ATP: 390. Gobat is ranked ATP: 1123.

Two players are playing changeable.

Karlovskiy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Karlovskiy will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evgeny Karlovskiy
ITF Tournaments
07.03.25	Tim Handel - Evgeny Karlovskiy	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Antoine Walch - Evgeny Karlovskiy	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Leonardo Malgaroli - Evgeny Karlovskiy	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.02.25	Jacob Fearnley - Evgeny Karlovskiy	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Benoit Paire - Evgeny Karlovskiy	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWL?
- Adrien Gobat
ITF Tournaments
07.03.25	Loann Massard - Adrien Gobat	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Adrien Gobat - Eero Vasa	2:1 ✺
27.02.25	Oliver Crawford - Adrien Gobat	2:0 ✺
13.02.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Adrien Gobat	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Adrien Gobat - Benjamin Winter Lopez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLW

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