Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kachreti (Georgia) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 20 May 2024, Monday

Referee: Tursunov R. (Uzb)


	Evgeny Karlovskiy		Egor Agafonov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.65
	1.42	2.6	Watch
	1.45	2.63
	1.46	2.64
	1.42	2.56	Watch
	1.42	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.64)	2.61 ↑ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evgeny Karlovskiy
64.7%

Egor Agafonov
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evgeny Karlovskiy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Evgeny Karlovskiy's performance.

Egor Agafonov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Egor Agafonov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evgeny Karlovskiy than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Evgeny Karlovskiy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egor Agafonov than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Egor Agafonov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Karlovskiy is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Agafonov is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Karlovskiy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Karlovskiy won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evgeny Karlovskiy
ATP Challenger
19.05.24	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Kristjan Tamm	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.05.24	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Alberto Barroso Campos	2:1 ✺
15.05.24	Erik Arutiunian - Evgeny Karlovskiy	0:2 ✺
02.05.24	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	1:2 ✺
01.05.24	Francisco Rocha - Evgeny Karlovskiy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW
- Egor Agafonov
ATP Challenger
19.05.24	Grigoriy Lomakin - Egor Agafonov	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.05.24	Egor Agafonov - Yshai Oliel	0:2 ✺
23.04.24	Menelaos Efstathiou - Egor Agafonov	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Kristjan Tamm - Egor Agafonov	2:1 ✺
10.04.24	Egor Agafonov - Moerani Bouzige	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.08.23	Egor Agafonov - Evgeny Karlovskiy	Karlovskiy E. retired

Evgeny Karlovskiy - Egor Agafonov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide