Match Info

Date: 10 May 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Evgeny Karlovskiy		Matteo Donati

	1	2
	1.61	2.2	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.62	2.12
	1.6	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.75)	2.25 ↑ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evgeny Karlovskiy
58.7%

Matteo Donati
41.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evgeny Karlovskiy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Matteo Donati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evgeny Karlovskiy than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Evgeny Karlovskiy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Donati than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Donati could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Evgeny Karlovskiy - Matteo Donati Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Karlovskiy will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Donati will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karlovskiy: 19% – 81%.

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Preview

Karlovskiy is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Donati is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Donati could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Karlovskiy won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evgeny Karlovskiy
ATP Challenger
19.04.22	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Dennis Novak	1:2 ✺
12.04.22	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
06.04.22	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
05.04.22	Valentin Vacherot - Evgeny Karlovskiy	1:2 ✺
31.03.22	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Evan Furness	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWL
- Matteo Donati
ATP Challenger
04.05.22	Lorenzo Giustino - Matteo Donati	2:0 ✺
03.05.22	Kaichi Uchida - Matteo Donati	1:2 ✺
02.05.22	Max Purcell - Matteo Donati	0:2 ✺
01.05.22	Matteo Donati - Matthias Bachinger	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.04.22	Matteo Donati - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.11.17	Matteo Donati - Evgeny Karlovskiy	0:2

Evgeny Karlovskiy - Matteo Donati