Match Info

Date: 4 May 2022, Wednesday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Matteo Donati

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.39	2.9
	1.43	2.55
	1.49	2.67
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.45	2.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.44)	2.7 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
65.3%

Matteo Donati
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Matteo Donati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Giustino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Donati than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Donati, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Lorenzo Giustino - Matteo Donati Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Donati will win (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Donati: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Giustino is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Donati is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Giustino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Giustino will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Giustino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
02.05.22	Marius Copil - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
27.04.22	Mats Rosenkranz - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
26.04.22	Lorenzo Giustino - Gregoire Barrere	2:1 ✺
22.04.22	Dalibor Svrcina - Lorenzo Giustino	Giustino L. retired ✺
21.04.22	Lorenzo Giustino - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLW?W
- Matteo Donati
ATP Challenger
03.05.22	Kaichi Uchida - Matteo Donati	1:2 ✺
02.05.22	Max Purcell - Matteo Donati	0:2 ✺
01.05.22	Matteo Donati - Matthias Bachinger	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.04.22	Matteo Donati - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
12.04.22	Laurent Lokoli - Matteo Donati	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.04.17	Matteo Donati - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1
09.08.16	Lorenzo Giustino - Matteo Donati	0:2
08.03.16	Lorenzo Giustino - Matteo Donati	0:2

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